Tuesday, January 25, 2005
New Mini Poll posted!
The Campaign Poll
The numbers are in! My latest poll did give a few strong messages. No, no science involved. But it shows, to a certain degree at least, what my readers consider to be important groups in the U.S. election campaign.
The question read: “Which group do you believe played the most important role in shaping the campaign agenda and eventually secure the Bush-Cheney victory of 2004?”
52 percent of you said that married couples were most important, followed by (to my surprise) Security Moms (22 percent) and the somewhat more obvious alternative “Swing-state voters” (17 percent). The bottom of the list tells us that the visitors on this sight do follow the academic analysis and are not being mislead by rumors in the media – only 8 percent voted for the two categories “rural voters” and “Evangelical Christians”.
One category received zero votes. Just as so many other institutes have pointed out, the Bush/Cheney win could not be attributed to an increase among ethnic voters (mainly Hispanics, even though the increase among black voters since the last election was also significant for Republicans, although smaller).
Presidential Poll
After the inaugural ceremony, I think it is only fair to take on a new presidential quiz. Even though it would be great to hear every single contributers’ arguments I will be alright with just the stats for this poll.
Hence:
I have listed 9 presidents. (I could not list all 43...) Some may argue that Reagan should be on the list, considering his both terms in office were faced with a Democratic majority in Congress, as was Georg H W Bush. While, on the other hand, Jimmy Carter’s administration was more transparent and did bring in policies that were enforced (even though his approach to international matters was utterly weak). My reason for not including Reagan is that he did take on Congress in two terms, where his Supply Side (voodoo) economics eventually found not only foes. His international performance, shaping the last crumbling days of the Soviet Union and the cold war, makes him a great policy entrepreneur. H W Bush is not included since he did manage to take the U.S. through the transition period of 1989-1993, with the first Iraq War and a never before measured high approval rating (90+ percent).
Other presidents who might be suggested for the list (Calvin Coolidge, Rutherford B. Hayes, Chester A. Arthur) have been able to pass the bar according to my highly subjective judgment, based on a selection of a few issues.
The numbers are in! My latest poll did give a few strong messages. No, no science involved. But it shows, to a certain degree at least, what my readers consider to be important groups in the U.S. election campaign.
The question read: “Which group do you believe played the most important role in shaping the campaign agenda and eventually secure the Bush-Cheney victory of 2004?”
52 percent of you said that married couples were most important, followed by (to my surprise) Security Moms (22 percent) and the somewhat more obvious alternative “Swing-state voters” (17 percent). The bottom of the list tells us that the visitors on this sight do follow the academic analysis and are not being mislead by rumors in the media – only 8 percent voted for the two categories “rural voters” and “Evangelical Christians”.
One category received zero votes. Just as so many other institutes have pointed out, the Bush/Cheney win could not be attributed to an increase among ethnic voters (mainly Hispanics, even though the increase among black voters since the last election was also significant for Republicans, although smaller).
Presidential Poll
After the inaugural ceremony, I think it is only fair to take on a new presidential quiz. Even though it would be great to hear every single contributers’ arguments I will be alright with just the stats for this poll.
Hence:
With his inaugural address, president Bush has embarked on an agenda, based on
strong policies. Which former U.S. President do you consider THE LEAST effective
when it comes to introducing (and carrying out) his policies, while in office?
I have listed 9 presidents. (I could not list all 43...) Some may argue that Reagan should be on the list, considering his both terms in office were faced with a Democratic majority in Congress, as was Georg H W Bush. While, on the other hand, Jimmy Carter’s administration was more transparent and did bring in policies that were enforced (even though his approach to international matters was utterly weak). My reason for not including Reagan is that he did take on Congress in two terms, where his Supply Side (voodoo) economics eventually found not only foes. His international performance, shaping the last crumbling days of the Soviet Union and the cold war, makes him a great policy entrepreneur. H W Bush is not included since he did manage to take the U.S. through the transition period of 1989-1993, with the first Iraq War and a never before measured high approval rating (90+ percent).
Other presidents who might be suggested for the list (Calvin Coolidge, Rutherford B. Hayes, Chester A. Arthur) have been able to pass the bar according to my highly subjective judgment, based on a selection of a few issues.
